Recently an anonymous commenter used the word 'apophenia', and I had to look it up to learn its meaning. Thank you for that anon, I am always pleased to learn a new word and 'apophenia' is an excellent example.
'Apophenia' describes the phenomenon of the perception of patterns, meanings, or connections where none exists. It’s like looking at a Rorschach ink blot and telling the analyst what you see.
In the world of statistical analysis, apophenia is known as a "Type 1 error". This is often called the “false positive” and happens when data is interpreted as confirming a hypothesis when in fact it does not. It’s effectively when you see a pattern where there isn’t one.
The human brain constantly searches for patterns; it's a learned behaviour which developed in response to danger. Patterns are recognised as established order, and breaks in patterns suggest danger. So although we say we seek patterns what we really do is watch out for breaks in established patterns but the result is the same - we monitor patterns constantly.
We Besslerites are convinced that Johann was genuine, despite what we have been taught and we therefore seek to confirm our belief by reproducing his wheel, not just for that reason but for the benefit of mankind, as we see it. But, as someone put it recently, when you think you might have solved the problem, "the chances are that you are having an apophenic experience and you need to remember to clean your cognitive glasses in a little reality solution." This sounds rather depressing but actually it isn't. Looking for the solution involves much trial and error and therefore apophenia is a necessary part of the process.
We all have our pet theories and each is different to the rest, and we have no way of knowing, so far, if any of them are right, but we seek to prove them by building or simulating the finished wheel, according to whatever hypothesis we are committed to.
Searching for the solution to Bessler's wheel is a bit like connecting the dots to make a recognisable picture. Sometimes the dots don'tproduce the picture we want. But have faith, according to Karl Brugger, "The propensity to see connections between seemingly unrelated objects or ideas most closely links psychosis to creativity ... apophenia and creativity may even be seen as two sides of the same coin." So be creative and let the reality check take care of itself and if the result is attributable to apophenia keep looking for that break in the pattern.
JC
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